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Table 1 Estimates and 95% credible intervals of the reproduction number, R, for the A/H7N9 influenza outbreak in China

From: Transmission potential of influenza A/H7N9, February to May 2013, China

Parameters

R estimate (95% CI)

 

Zhejiang

Shanghai

(k-1 = 3 days and γ-1 = 3 days)

0.13 (0.01 to 0.46)

0.15 (0.01 to 0.47)

(k-1 = 1.5 days and γ-1 = 1.5 days)

0.11 (0.003 to 0.42)

0.17 (0.01 to 0.49)

  1. R estimates based on the sequential Bayesian estimation SEIR method, prior to the start of control interventions on 6 April 2013.