| aAH5 | Mean GCSE/O-level grade | Best three A-levels | BMS outcome | Finals outcome | MRCP(UK) Part 1 | MRCP(UK) Pt 2 Written | MRCP(UK) Pt 2 Clinical | On Specialist Register |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Continuous | Continuous censored | Continuous censored | Ordinal | Ordinal | Continuous | Continuous | Continuous | Binary | |
aAH5 | 1 | 0.203 | 0.179 | 0.037 | 0.051 | 0.126 | 0.276 | 0.179 | 0.037 |
 |  | P <0.001 | P <0.001 | P = 0.313 | P = 0.216 | P = 0.051 | P <0.001 | P = 0.025 | P = 0.339 |
n = 714 | n = 762 | n = 766 | n = 597 | n = 242 | n = 193 | n = 156 | n = 670 | ||
Mean GCSE/O-level grade | 0.223 ± 0.034 (0.155 to 0.292) | 1 | 0.250 | 0.141 | 0.138 | 0.245 | 0.096 | 0.235 | 0.047 |
P <0.001 | P <0.001 | P <0.001 | P <001 | P = 0.014 | P <0.001 | P = 0.022 | |||
n = 2662 | n = 2657 | n = 2072 | n = 829 | n = 660 | n = 526 | n = 2351 | |||
Best three A-levels | 0.190 ± 0.036 (0.117 to 0.264) | 0.561 ± 0.007(0.548 to 0.573) | 1 | 0.128 | 0.100 | 0.230 | 0.085 | 0.096 | 0.147 |
P <0.001 | P <0.001 | P <0.001 | P = 0.019 | P = 0.019 | P <0.001 | ||||
n = 3096 | n = 2413 | n = 957 | n = 753 | n = 597 | n = 2664 | ||||
BMS outcome | 0.050 ± 0.042 (-0.033 to 0.131) | 0.192 ± 0.206 (0.134 to 0.237) | 0.191 ± 0.018 (0.151 to 0.227) | 1 | 0.210 | 0.296 | 0.111 | 0.102 | 0.097 |
P <0.001 | P <0.001 | P = 0.002 | P = 0.012 | P <0.001 | |||||
n = 2506 | n = 989 | n = 777 | n = 614 | n = 2760 | |||||
Finals outcome | 0.055 ± 0.058 (-0.066 to 0.155) | 0.202 ± 0.023 (0.154 to 0.241) | 0.167 ± 0.025 (0.115 to 0.219) | 0.391 ± 0.033 (0.322 to 0.453) | 1 | 0.281 | 0.167 | 0.188 | 0.143 |
P <0.001 | P <0.001 | P <0.001 | P <0.001 | ||||||
n = 872 | n = 698 | n = 571 | n = 2337 | ||||||
MRCP(UK) Part 1 | 0.120 ± 0.062 (0.002 to 0.249) | 0.272 ± 0.032 (0.209 to 0.331) | 0.256 ± 0.032 (0.184 to 0.314) | 0.384 ± 0.034 (0.321 to 0.452) | 0.352 ± 0.039 (0.269 to 0.427) | 1 | 0.208 | 0.182 | 0.253 |
P <0.001 | P <0.001 | P <0.001 | |||||||
n = 730 | n = 571 | n = 938 | |||||||
MRCP(UK) Part 2 written (old format) | 0.270 ± 0.067 (0.140 to 0.393) | 0.115 ± 0.035 (0.049 to 0.184) | 0.067 ± 0.039 (-0.020 to 0.138) | 0.170 ± 0.055 (0.061 to 0.278) | 0.214 ± 0.045 (0.134 to 0.305) | 0.202 ± 0.034 (0.133 to 0.271) | 1 | 0.233 | 0.086 |
P <0.001 | P = 0.019 | ||||||||
n = 606 | n = 743 | ||||||||
MRCP(UK) Part 2 clinical (old format) | 0.189 ± 0.072 (0.034 to 0.321) | 0.249 ± 0.047 (0.158 to 0.339) | 0.119 ± 0.047 (0.031 to 0.208) | 0.164 ± 0.063 (0.051 to 0.286) | 0.233 ± 0.048 (0.126 to 0.326) | 0.175 ± 0.039 (0.091 to 0.247) | 0.245 ± 0.040 (0.166 to 0.321) | 1 | 0.120 |
P <0.004 | |||||||||
n = 582 | |||||||||
On Specialist Register | 0.032 ± 0.047 (-0.064 to 0.120) | 0.025 ± 0.017 (-0.018 to 0.058) | 0.200 ± 0.027 (0.143 to 0.243) | 0.160 ± 0.032 (0.099 to 0.217) | 0.240 ± 0.033 (0.176 to (0.303) | 0.317 ± 0.03 7(0.250 to 0.391) | 0.116 ± 0.048 (0.0228 to 0.209) | 0.163 ± 0.054 (0.051 to 0.273) | 1 |