Figure 8From: Containing the accidental laboratory escape of potential pandemic influenza viruses Geographical variability. (A) Ratio between probability of outbreak in different urban areas and probability of outbreak in Rotterdam (The Netherlands) for different values of R0 by assuming reference scenario. (B) Ratio between probability of outbreak in urban and rural areas in different countries for different values of R0 by assuming reference scenario. Urban areas as in (A); rural areas are low population density areas in Wales (UK, 80Â km north of Cardiff), Uppland (SE, 100Â km north of Uppsala), Sardinia island (IT, 50Â km east of Sassari), Andalusia - Castile la Mancha (ES, 50Â km northeast of Cordoba), Centre-Burgundy (France, 80Â km southeast of Orleans). Note that the reported value of R0 refers to that of simulations carried out for Rotterdam (The Netherlands); comparative results for other countries are obtained by assuming the same transmission rates in the different social contexts (that is the same probability of infection transmission given a contact in a certain setting) as in Rotterdam. A total of 1,000 simulations were undertaken for each parameter set to produce the results shown.Back to article page