Table 3 Reference scenario for a flu pandemic after one initial case (no intervention). Estimates are cumulative numbers per 100 inhabitants, unless otherwise specified.

From: A 'small-world-like' model for comparing interventions aimed at preventing and controlling influenza pandemics

Outcomes	Outbreak n = 114		All simulations n = 200
	Mean	Minimum-Maximum	Mean
Infections
Total	46.8	42.3–50.5	26.7
Children (0–18 years)^a	76.5	71.9–79.7	43.6
Adults (19–65 years) ^a	39.9	34.8–44.0	22.8
Elderly (>65 years) ^a	25.3	20.8–30.1	14.4
Physician visits	31.2	28.0–33.7	17.8
Hospital admissions	1.74	1.30–2.30	0.99
Deaths	0.36	0.17–0.55	0.21
Lost workdays^b	137	118–150	78

^aPer 100 individuals of a given age
^bPer 100 working adults

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