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Table 6 Reactive vaccination of 70% of the susceptible population according to the interval between implementation and identification of the first case in the community. Estimates are cumulative numbers per 100 inhabitants, unless otherwise specified.

From: A 'small-world-like' model for comparing interventions aimed at preventing and controlling influenza pandemics

Outcomes

Interval (days)

 

0

(Outbreak, n = 121)

28

(Outbreak, n = 122)

 

Mean

Minimum-Maximum

Mean

Minimum-Maximum

Infections

    

   Total

4.2

0.5–15.7

36.1

2.0–46.9

   Childrena

8.6

0.7–31.5

62.6

4.6–77.7

   Adultsa

3.0

0.4–11.9

29.7

1.4–40.2

   Elderlya

1.6

0.0–5.8

18.1

0.5–27.8

Physician visitsb

1.6

0.0–10.3

23.9

1.3–31.2

Hospital admissions

0.15

0.01–0.5

1.34

0.06–1.92

Deaths

0.033

0–0.14

0.29

0.02–0.51

Lost workdaysc

11

1–44

103

5–137

Vaccination

69.8

69–71

61.6

44–71

  1. aPer 100 individuals of a given age
  2. bPhysician visits for 'flu-like' illness (excludes visits for influenza vaccination)
  3. cPer 100 working adults