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Table 2 Municipalities of key interest

From: The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of a moderately contagious disease

  SIM SIM50 SIM20
Municipality Mean 95% SI Mean 95% SI Mean 95% SI
Stockholm 18 563 17470 19645 13 231 12437 14066 6029 5653 6412
Göteborg 730.7 654.4 813.9 - - - - - -
Malmö 338.6 295.4 390.2 - - - - - -
Huddinge 3473 3277 3668 2607 2453 2761 1218 1136 1298
Upplands-Bro 573.7 537.0 610.7 362.2 337.7 388.1 84.1 76.2 92.4
Norrtälje 939.1 882.0 998.2 214.6 197.9 232.3 37.4 33.5 41.8
Södertälje 1133 1060 1205 638.2 593.5 685.1 60.7 51.4 72.3
Västerås 864.4 798.9 934.1 27.0 23.1 31.3 2.9 1.9 4.0
Eskilstuna 692.4 639.8 748.8 60.7 53.4 68.9 26.0 22.1 30.5
Umeå 118.2 98.1 144.6 - - - - - -
Luleå 237.4 201.9 278.4 - - - - - -
Örebro 557.0 507.7 611.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 - - -
Jönköping 227.6 206.4 250.9 - - - - - -
Linköping 528.5 479.5 582.6 1.7 1.3 2.3 - - -
Helsingborg 143.0 128.9 158.3 - - - - - -
Borås 140.3 127.6 154.5 - - - - - -
Gävle 559.2 517.5 601.1 21.9 18.7 25.5 1.8 1.3 2.4
Ljungby 29.7 26.7 33.0 - - - - - -
Hofors 72.9 66.8 79.2 2.9 2.1 3.9 - - -
Örkelljunga 4.9 3,8 5,0 - - - - - -
  1. A selection of municipalities with the mean incidence and bootstrapped 95 % simulation intervals with extinction runs filtered out. This set and its ordering is the same for the individual rows in the table, which explains the zero-valued lower interval bounds and other discrepancies.
  2. After Stockholm, Göteborg and Malmö are the largest cities in Sweden. The single most traveled route is that between Stockholm and neighboring Huddinge, traveled by approximately 37 000 people daily, each way. The decline in incidence closely follows that in Stockholm.
  3. Upplands-Bro is representative of an outer suburb to Stockholm. Södertälje and Norrtälje are nearby towns but are not considered suburbs. Västerås and Eskilstuna are more distant, but have a fair number of commuters. Örebro through Luleå are larger towns at some distance from Stockholm with no notable commuter traffic. Finally, the last four are small towns in southern Sweden.
  4. SI, simulation intervals