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Table 2 Forecasted number of cases for the countries with an incorrect prediction of outbreak

From: Predictability and epidemic pathways in global outbreaks of infectious diseases: the SARS case study

Country

Median

90% CI

Japan

83

23–228

United Arab Emirates

6

1–36

Bangladesh

6

1–42

Saudi Arabia

5

1–35

Netherlands

5

1–26

Cambodia

5

1–40

Bahrain

4

1–30

Austria

4

1–26

Denmark

3

1–15

Brunei

3

1–16

  1. List of countries that were not infected according to WHO official reports but are predicted as at risk by numerical simulations. Median and 90% CI are reported; results correspond to 11 July 2003.
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BMC Medicine

ISSN: 1741-7015

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