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Table 2 Forecasted number of cases for the countries with an incorrect prediction of outbreak

From: Predictability and epidemic pathways in global outbreaks of infectious diseases: the SARS case study

Country Median 90% CI
Japan 83 23–228
United Arab Emirates 6 1–36
Bangladesh 6 1–42
Saudi Arabia 5 1–35
Netherlands 5 1–26
Cambodia 5 1–40
Bahrain 4 1–30
Austria 4 1–26
Denmark 3 1–15
Brunei 3 1–16
  1. List of countries that were not infected according to WHO official reports but are predicted as at risk by numerical simulations. Median and 90% CI are reported; results correspond to 11 July 2003.