Figure 5
Result sensitivity relative to the R 0 -value as it would have been measured in Ho Chi Minh City. Light gray lines show the variation in a particular epidemiological indicator as a function of R 0. The other coloured lines are moving averages over nearby R 0-values. The top two panels show the size of the epidemic and the time taken for it to peak, which always have a predictable relationship to R 0. The bottom two panels show how animal exposure increases and how the epidemic becomes more rural as R 0 increases. Note that with higher R 0, not only does the risk to domestic animal owners increase but the relative risk of an owner to a non-owner also increases (not shown).