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Table 4 Selection of variables in multivariable analysis

From: Reporting methods in studies developing prognostic models in cancer: a review

 

% (n = 43*)

Selection of variables for inclusion in multivariable analysis

 

   All candidate variables used (no selection)

26 (11)

   All candidate variables apart from a few with contra indications**

5 (2)

   Without statistical analysis

 

Previous literature

5 (2)

Previous literature and few variables by investigator choice

5 (2)

   By statistical analysis

 

Screening by univariable analysis - only significant variables

37 (16)

Screening by univariable analysis - significant variables and investigator choice

11 (5)

   Unclear/Not reported

11 (5)

Statistical modelling methods used within multivariable analysis

 

   A priori variables fixed, others added

2 (1)

   Backward elimination

14 (6)

   Forward selection

5 (2)

   Other (pairwise multiple testing for categories of variables)

2 (1)

   Unclear/Not reported

77 (33)

Methods for inclusion of variables in final model and prognostic index

 

   No selection. All variables kept in model

14 (6)

   Retain only significant variables based on P-value

65 (28)

   Retain significant variables plus variables based on previous literature

2 (1)

   Retain all variables but alter prognostic score after model to include only significant variables and adjust for other variables

5 (2)

   Retain only significant variables but alter prognostic score after final model

5 (2)

   Retain based on model goodness of fit

2 (1)

   Unclear/Not reported

7 (3)

  1. * Excluded four studies using recursive partitioning analysis and artificial neural network models
  2. ** Contra indications reported as reasons for exclusion of variables were missing data, collinearity and treatment indicator