Table 7 Outcomes predicted by models for one birth cohort in Afr-region

Undiscounted cases

   Mild

92,989

121,312

128,807

   Moderate

49,051

70,126

54,559

   Severe

5,092

9,589

5,277

   Nosocomial

1,680

1,986

2,701

   Deaths

955

1,789

1,524

   Outpatient

54,143

70,126

54,559

   Inpatient (comm. acq.)

5,092

9,589

5,277

Discounted savings

   Outpatient

$568,502

$716,305

$623,977

   Inpatient

$973,247

$1,329,538

$753,884

   Indirect

$108,916

$106,377

$81,486

   Discounted net costs^b (*1000)

$6,759

$ 8,757-17,094

$ 9,250-17,467

Discounted QALYs

   Mortality

24,962

45,817

39,070

   Morbidity

542

762

628