Model calibration to available data. A. TB Prevalence, data from . B. Smear positive TB prevalence, data from . C. Mortality, data from . D. MDR, data from [77,78]. E-F. Age-dependent smear positive prevalence in 1990 and 2000 [77,78]. G. Incidence, WHO estimate  not used for calibration but shown for comparison. H. Breakdown of sources of incidence, model estimate. Solid black line is mean of model output, gray shaded area is 95% credible interval including both parameter and stochastic uncertainties. Red squares represent data (as cited) with reported 95% credible interval.