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Figure 2 | BMC Medicine

Figure 2

From: Tuberculosis control strategies to reach the 2035 global targets in China: the role of changing demographics and reactivation disease

Figure 2

Model calibration to available data. A. TB Prevalence, data from [9]. B. Smear positive TB prevalence, data from [9]. C. Mortality, data from [97]. D. MDR, data from [77,78]. E-F. Age-dependent smear positive prevalence in 1990 and 2000 [77,78]. G. Incidence, WHO estimate [1] not used for calibration but shown for comparison. H. Breakdown of sources of incidence, model estimate. Solid black line is mean of model output, gray shaded area is 95% credible interval including both parameter and stochastic uncertainties. Red squares represent data (as cited) with reported 95% credible interval.

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