| 2025 | 2025 | 2035 | 2035 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Change in active TB incidence | Change in mortality | Change in active TB incidence | Change in mortality | |
Status quo | −25% (−15, −39) | −28% (−12, −45) | −42% (−27, −59) | −41% (−5, −64) |
DOTS program | ||||
WHO targets | 50% | 75% | 90% | 95% |
Basis set of interventions | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Expand DOTS to all patients | −28% (−19, −42) | −53% (−36, −71) | −47% (−31, −63) | −65% (−54, −79) |
Reduce time to treatment | −29% (−19,- 46) | −33% (−12, −56) | −48% (−35, −66) | −48% (−24, −74) |
Improve treatment success | −33% (−24, −44) | −50% (−28, −68) | −49% (−35, −64) | −60% (−43, −77) |
Active case finding in elders | −28% (−18, −42) | −42% (−24, −58) | −48% (−34, −64) | −58% (−40, −72) |
Preventative therapy in elders | −63% (−53, −76) | −57% (−34, −77) | −79% (−69, −89) | −73% (−60, −75) |
Combinations | Â | Â | Â | Â |
All feasible interventions* | −42% (−33, −58) | −74% (−64, −85) | −59% (−50, −76) | −83% (−73, −94) |
Active case finding and preventative therapy in elders | −63% (−52, −76) | −60% (−44, −79) | −79% (−68, −90) | −75% (−66, −86) |
All interventions | −71% (−63, −84) | −85% (−78, −93) | −84% (−78, 93) | −92% (−86, −98) |