Table 2 Parameters of the economic model
Parameter | Estimate | Uncertainty | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
Relative risk of consulting a GP in a risk group | 1.51 | Normal (μ = 1.51, sd = 0.18) | Flusurvey (http://flusurvey.org.uk/) cohort [14] |
Cost of vaccination | 15.85 | Triangular (vertices 12, 15.55, 20) | Personal communication (Department of Health) |
Febrile cases | 0.406 | Triangular on [0.309–0.513] | Review of volunteer studies [13] |
All ARI cases | 0.645 | Triangular on [0.546–0.733] | Review of volunteer studies [13] |
QALY loss per non-fatal ILI case | 7.49 × 10-3 | Bootstrap from data on H1N1 pdm | Van Hoek et al. [21] |
QALY loss per non-fatal ARI case | 1.01 × 10-3 | Normal (μ = 1.01 × 10-3, sd = 8.35 × 10-5) | Camacho et al. [14] |
QALY loss per hospitalisation | 0.018 | Normal (mu=0.018, sigma=0.0018) | Siddiqui et al. [22] |
Hospital cost (per episode) | £840 | Lognormal (normal μ = 839, normal σ = 192.1) | Baguelin et al. [7] |
GP cost (per consultation) | £37 | Lognormal (normal μ = 37, normal σ = 8.4) | Baguelin et al. [7] |