Fig. 4
From: TIME Impact – a new user-friendly tuberculosis (TB) model to inform TB policy decisions
Model outputs for tuberculosis (TB) incidence and mortality in South Africa. The calibration focussed on matching 2012 data and aimed to fit within the confidence intervals around the Global TB Programme (GTB) estimates (thin solid lines). a TB Incidence: Modelled incidence (thick solid line) closely matches GTB estimates (dotted line). Model matches disaggregation by HIV status and annual decline in incidence in 2012. b Mortality: Modelled mortality (thick solid lines) match GTB estimates in 2012 (dotted line)