Output | Mean (95Â % CI) |
---|---|
Mean reproductive number | 1.77 (1.46–2.30) |
Mean duration of the infectious period | 16.8 days (8.6–24.9) |
Amplitude of seasonal variation in transmission | 0.57 (0–1.74) |
Peak day of seasonal variation in transmission | 138 (91–215) May 18 (Apr 1 to Aug 3) |
Per-dose efficacy of oral polio vaccine (OPV) | 0.63 (0–1) |
Attack rate at the end of 2014 with the OPV campaign | 0.42 (0.22–0.65) |
Attack rate at the end of 2014 without the OPV campaign | 0.57 (0.35–0.74) |
Reduction in attack rate due to OPV campaign | 0.15 (0–0.40) |
End time of the outbreak with the OPV campaign | April 12, 2014 (Jan 19, 2014, to Oct 8, 2014) |
End time of the outbreak without the OPV campaign | February 15, 2015 (Feb 18, 2014, to Nov 12, 2016) |
Reduction in outbreak duration due to OPV campaign | 309 days (2–846) |