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Table 2 Selected results of the model fitting

From: Modeling the spread of polio in an IPV-vaccinated population: lessons learned from the 2013 silent outbreak in southern Israel

Output Mean (95 % CI)
Mean reproductive number 1.77 (1.46–2.30)
Mean duration of the infectious period 16.8 days (8.6–24.9)
Amplitude of seasonal variation in transmission 0.57 (0–1.74)
Peak day of seasonal variation in transmission 138 (91–215)
May 18 (Apr 1 to Aug 3)
Per-dose efficacy of oral polio vaccine (OPV) 0.63 (0–1)
Attack rate at the end of 2014 with the OPV campaign 0.42 (0.22–0.65)
Attack rate at the end of 2014 without the OPV campaign 0.57 (0.35–0.74)
Reduction in attack rate due to OPV campaign 0.15 (0–0.40)
End time of the outbreak with the OPV campaign April 12, 2014
(Jan 19, 2014, to Oct 8, 2014)
End time of the outbreak without the OPV campaign February 15, 2015
(Feb 18, 2014, to Nov 12, 2016)
Reduction in outbreak duration due to OPV campaign 309 days (2–846)