Table 2 Model-estimated deviations^a between monthly numbers of pneumococcal meningitis (PM) cases in children under 5 years old, compared to baseline

Baseline^d

5.5

–

1.6

–

0.8

–

8.0

–

2003–2004

+0.2 (–0.26 to 0.67)

0.39

–0.1 (–0.76 to 0.56)

0.76

–1.2 (–1.74 to –0.65)

<0.001

+1.3 (–0.02 to 2.70)

0.05

2004–2005

–1.2 (–1.69 to –0.75)

<0.001

+0.3 (–0.36 to 0.97)

0.37

+0.8 (0.23 to 1.42)

0.007

+1.0 (–0.39 to 2.36)

0.16

2005–2006

–3.0 (–3.51 to –2.59)

<0.001

+0.1 (–0.54 to 0.78)

0.72

+0.3 (–0.26 to 0.91)

0.28

–1.1 (–2.47 to 0.20)

0.09

2006–2007

–3.2 (–3.64 to 2.70)

<0.001

+1.5 (0.84 to 2.16)

<0.001

+0.3 (–0.22 to 0.93)

0.23

+0.2 (1.11 to 1.58)

0.73

2007–2008

–4.2 (–4.64 to –3.71)

<0.001

+0.4 (–0.26 to 1.07)

0.23

+1.2 (0.61 to 1.77)

<0.001

–1.0 (–2.38 to 0.32)

0.14

2008–2009

–5.1 (–5.56 to –4.56)

<0.001

+1.8 (1.14 to 2.49)

<0.001

+1.0 (0.42 to 1.65)

<0.001

+1.7 (0.31 to 3.05)

0.016

2009–2010

–4.6 (–5.14 to –4.15)

<0.001

+1.5 (0.82 to 2.19)

<0.001

+2.0 (1.44 to 2.65)

<0.001

+1.0 (–0.34 to 2.45)

0.13

2010–2011

–4.8 (–5.27 to –4.35)

<0.001

+0.7 (0.01 to 1.34)

0.045

+3.3 (2.74 to 3.92)

<0.001

–0.6 (–1.93 to 0.75)

0.38

2011–2012

–5.4 (–5.82 to –4.90)

<0.001

+0.5 (–0.15 to 1.16)

0.13

+2.1 (1.56 to 2.71)

<0.001

–1.6 (–2.92 to –0.26)

0.019

2012–2013

–4.7 (–5.24 to –4.21)

<0.001

–0.3 (–1.04 to 0.33)

0.31

+3.9 (3.31 to 4.54)

<0.001

–2.7 (–4.14 to –1.36)

<0.001

2013–2014

–5.2 (–5.71 to –4.62)

<0.001

–0.3 (–0.93 to 0.39)

0.42

+1.7 (1.09 to 2.37)

<0.001

–3.5 (–4.81 to –2.13)

<0.001