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Fig. 3 | BMC Medicine

Fig. 3

From: Continental-scale, data-driven predictive assessment of eliminating the vector-borne disease, lymphatic filariasis, in sub-Saharan Africa by 2020

Fig. 3

Learning ensembles of local LF transmission models. a An example of baseline fits to three age profiles (boxes depicting mean prevalences predicted in each respective age class with the vertical lines showing the 95% confidence intervals of these means) derived for a site in the country of Senegal with overall mf prevalence of 32.1%. b The corresponding predictions of overall mf prevalence are shown in a histogram where the solid vertical line represents the known overall mf value and the dashed vertical line represents the median of the predicted distribution. c The predicted distribution of baseline annual biting rates (ABRs) from the fits to each age-infection profile is shown with the median indicated by a vertical dashed line. The inset plot zooms in on the distributions in the lower ABR region. d A cluster plot showing the relative contributions of each age-infection profile to the pooled fits across all modeled sites in Senegal. For this country, the plateau-type age-infection model contributed most to infection for the sampled sites, followed in importance by the convex and the linear age models

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