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Table 3 Comparison of burden of varicella and herpes zoster (HZ) for the years 2003 and 2060 in different vaccination scenarios in the projected population model

From: Influence of demographic changes on the impact of vaccination against varicella and herpes zoster in Germany – a mathematical modelling study

 

Year

2003

2060

2060

2060

2060

Scenario

Varicella vaccination

no

no

yes

yes

yes

HZ vaccination

no

no

no

current live

new subunit

Varicella

Cases

776,007

511,908

167,422

167,241

166,659

Hospitalizations

1,752

1,192

989

987

979

Deaths

5

6

12

12

11

HZ

Cases

449,896

484,723

474,080

466,465

429,361

Hospitalizations

14,453

21,515

23,540

23,305

21,215

Deaths

54

184

214

214

196