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Table 2 Estimated probability of Zika virus (ZIKV) infection incidence, suspect Zika cases reported per ZIKV, and suspect Guillain–Barré syndrome (GBS) cases per 10,000 ZIKV infections by location

From: Guillain–Barré syndrome risk among individuals infected with Zika virus: a multi-country assessment

Location Estimated probability of ZIKV infection, p Z
Mean (95% CrI)
Estimated suspect Zika cases reported per ZIKV infection, p S
Mean (95% CrI)
Estimated GBS cases reported per 10,000 ZIKV infection, p GZ
Mean (95% CrI)
Bahia, Brazil 0.02 (0.01–0.05) 0.14 (0.04–0.25) 1.5 (0.3–3.1)
Colombia 0.09 (0.03–0.23) 0.03 (0.01–0.07) 2.0 (0.6–4.6)
Dominican Republic 0.11 (0.04–0.25) 0.01 (0.00–0.01) 2.2 (0.8–5.0)
El Salvador 0.15 (0.05–0.41) 0.01 (0.00–0.03) 2.0 (0.6–4.5)
French Polynesia 0.64 (0.48–0.78) 0.18 (0.14–0.23) 2.2 (1.5–3.2)
Honduras 0.04 (0.01–0.12) 0.07 (0.02–0.15) 2.0 (0.5–4.3)
Puerto Rico 0.17 (0.08–0.46) 0.15 (0.04–0.26) 1.4 (0.4–2.5)
Salvador, Brazil 0.08 (0.03–0.23) 0.11 (0.03–0.21) 1.8 (0.4–3.6)
Suriname 0.15 (0.04–0.47) 0.06 (0.01–0.15) 2.0 (0.5–4.4)
Venezuela 0.12 (0.04–0.30) 0.01 (0.00–0.03) 2.0 (0.6–4.6)
Yap 0.69 (0.57–0.80) 0.04 (0.03–0.04) 1.7 (0.4–3.6)
  1. CrI credible interval