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Fig. 3 | BMC Medicine

Fig. 3

From: The potential impact of the demographic transition in the Senegal-Gambia region of sub-Saharan Africa on the burden of infectious disease and its potential synergies with control programmes: the case of hepatitis B

Fig. 3

Best model fit to HBV prevalence. a Model-predicted age-specific prevalence of exposure to HBV (represented by HBV core antibody prevalence) compared with prevalence observed in The Gambia in the early 1980s [30]. b Model-predicted age-specific prevalence of serological markers of persistent infection (corresponding to HBV surface antibody) compared with corresponding prevalence observed in The Gambia in 1984 [30]. Results show best-fit model results and related uncertainty bands based on those parameter constellations from LHS representing the best 10% values obtained for the least squares score function

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