Fig. 4
From: Neighbourhood level real-time forecasting of dengue cases in tropical urban Singapore
Aggregate ROC curves for forecast windows at 1, 2, 4, 8Â and 12Â weeks for classification of actual high- and low-risk neighbourhoods, aggregated over out-of-sample forecasts in 2016. The corresponding AUC values are marked. Because the bootstrap confidence intervals are very narrow, only average ROC curves are presented on this graph. AUC area under the ROC curve, ROC receiver operating characteristic