Skip to main content

Table 2 Inference from the Gaussian spillover risk model

From: Investigating spillover of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis from a prison: a spatial and molecular epidemiological analysis

   

Quantile

Parameter

Mean

SD

0.025

0.975

Intercept

–2.23

0.71

–3.90

–1.20

Previous treatment: yes vs. no

0.81

0.24

0.44

1.35

Sex: female vs. male

0.11

0.16

–0.17

0.46

Smear positive: yes vs. no

0.11

0.22

–0.29

0.58

Socioeconomic status:

 Middle vs. upper

–0.19

0.30

–0.81

0.39

 Lower vs. upper

–0.40

0.31

–1.10

0.15

Population density

0.01

0.09

–0.17

0.19

Age category

 [25–65) vs. [18–25)

–0.01

0.16

–0.33

0.31

 65+ vs. [18–25)

–0.27

0.32

–1.00

0.30

Spillover magnitude (λ)

0.49

0.28

0.01

1.13

Spillover range (θ), kilometers

5.47

1.83

1.38

9.63

Regression parameter variance (\( {\sigma}_{\delta}^2 \))

0.90

0.86

0.18

3.10

Spatial variance parameter (\( {\sigma}_w^2 \))

1.71

1.55

0.11

5.53

  1. Posterior means, posterior SDs, and posterior quantiles are presented. Parameters whose 95% credible intervals do not include 0 are shown in bold, indicating an increased (positive effect) MDR-TB risk for a patient with the particular characteristic
  2. MDR-TB multidrug-resistant tuberculosis, SD standard deviation