Fig. 4

a–d The population weighted mean daily temperature in the labeled department along with the daily temperatures for each municipality in the department. e–h The mean daily biting rate from the top 10 simulations for the single-patch and multi-patch models. Panels a, b, e, and f are departments where the single-patch model severely overestimated the epidemic size. Panels c, d, g, and h are departments where the single-patch model did not overestimate the size of the epidemic