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Table 3 Distributions used for probabilistic sensitivity analysis

From: The cost of diagnostic uncertainty: a prospective economic analysis of febrile children attending an NHS emergency department

Parameter

Distribution

Time (hours)

 Nurse triage

Gamma (4.69, 0.01)

 Proportion performed by band 6 nurses

Beta (16, 55)

 Proportion performed by band 5 nurses

1-Beta (16, 55)

 Clinical consultation

Gamma (3.9, 0.04)

 Clinician writing up patient notes

Uniform (1, 20)

 Arrange blood/urine culture

Uniform (1, 25)

 Arranging X-ray

Uniform (1, 30)

 Receptionist booking patient in

Uniform (1, 5)

 Clinician arranging referral

Uniform (1, 25)

 Clinician cannulating child

Uniform (5, 35)

 Nurse providing antibiotics to child

Uniform (1, 10)

 Visual assessment by nurse

Uniform (0.5,5)

 Days spent as inpatient (if admitted)

Gamma (3.72, 1.03)

Salary (cost/hour)

 Nurse (band 5)

Uniform (13.36, 17.5)

 Nurse (band 6)

Uniform (16.14, 21.77)

 Nurse (band 7)

Uniform (19.34, 25.67)

 Nurse (band 8a)

Uniform (24.8, 29.99)

 Foundation year doctor

Uniform (22.5,26)

 ST1-3

Uniform (27, 30.8)

 APNP

Uniform (24.8, 29.99)

 Registrar

Uniform (36, 41)

 Consultant

Uniform (64.8, 87.4)