From: Real-time analysis of the diphtheria outbreak in forcibly displaced Myanmar nationals in Bangladesh
Name | Description | Age or camp specific? | Value | Prior distribution |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/v | Incubation period | No | 3 days | |
1/γ | Infectious period | No | 3 days | |
β _{ L} | Transmission rate | Camp | Fitted | Uniform(0,∞) |
r _{ L} | Proportion of cases reported | Camp | Fitted | Gamma(20,0.005) |
ϕ _{ L} | Dispersion parameter for reporting | Camp | Fitted | Uniform(0,∞) |
α_{1, L} | Relative susceptibility in under 5 age group | Camp | Fitted | Uniform(0,1) |
α_{3, L} | Relative susceptibility in over 15 age group | Camp | Fitted | Uniform(0,1) |
\( {S}_{2,L}^0 \) | Initial proportion susceptible in the age group 5–14 years | No | 0.80 | |
\( {I}_{a,L}^0 \) | Initial proportion of infectious | Camp and age | Fitted | Uniform(0,∞) |