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Table 2 Ratios of ACSC mortality rates under ESF scenarios compared to constant ESF coverage in 2020 and 2030

From: Mortality associated with alternative primary healthcare policies: a nationwide microsimulation modelling study in Brazil

  2020 CI 2030 CI
Ratio of ACSC mortality rates Ratio of ACSC mortality rates
Static ESF coverage (scenario 1) 1 (Ref)   1 (Ref)  
Contracting ESF coverage (scenario 2) 1.021 1.006–1.036 1.058 1.042–1.074
Contracting ESF coverage and Mais Médicos termination (scenario 3) 1.044 1.029–1.059 1.086 1.071–1.102
Universal Health Coverage (scenario 4) 0.989 0.974–1.003 0.977 0.963–0.992
  1. CI credible intervals, ESF Estratégia Saúde da Família (Family Health Strategy), ACSC ambulatory care-sensitive condition