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Table 2 Summary of global and regional model performance

From: A dynamic neural network model for predicting risk of Zika in real time

Relative risk classification scheme Prediction window size (N in weeks) Overall prediction accuracy (ACC)
Global Caribbean South America Central America
Risk indicator Risk indicator Risk indicator Risk indicator
Incidence Cases Incidence Cases Incidence Cases Incidence cases
R = 0.1 1 95.71 96.95 94.63 98.84 93.65 92.28 97.95 94.18
2 94.29 96.12 92.90 98.86 91.68 90.78 97.01 90.67
4 91.30 93.13 89.38 97.30 87.11 84.80 95.34 84.14
8 86.34 90.63 85.72 95.70 74.58 81.97 91.74 76.69
12 82.57 87.05 81.75 93.59 68.63 75.94 87.99 68.14
R = 0.2 1 93.07 93.54 91.73 94.94 92.65 90.16 92.64 87.33
2 90.01 92.27 88.30 93.93 89.37 88.60 89.26 84.68
4 84.68 88.09 82.66 89.72 82.77 84.40 82.28 76.49
8 75.22 81.87 71.58 83.96 69.34 76.27 73.73 65.25
12 68.96 78.25 65.01 80.92 62.75 71.30 63.73 58.09
R = 0.3 1 90.70 93.41 88.30 94.05 91.41 91.41 90.58 87.84
2 86.74 89.82 85.27 91.06 86.68 86.68 84.15 80.46
4 80.85 84.31 77.10 85.36 82.63 79.38 78.73 72.76
8 70.10 76.46 64.73 77.31 69.34 71.34 66.31 58.05
12 63.37 71.66 56.86 70.66 62.39 64.88 57.35 56.86
R = 0.4 1 90.46 91.68 88.25 91.31 93.03 90.54 87.84 86.64
2 86.79 88.52 84.62 88.24 89.76 86.30 83.10 81.51
4 79.36 81.67 76.41 81.97 83.04 75.44 72.57 71.83
8 68.47 72.85 61.67 71.12 73.19 71.19 62.29 54.66
12 59.82 65.22 51.89 60.33 62.21 60.96 53.19 53.43
R = 0.5 1 89.51 91.16 89.67 90.25 87.42 88.42 85.10 90.41
2 86.21 86.90 84.83 86.13 85.15 82.84 83.10 84.15
4 77.67 78.46 76.29 77.55 75.44 75.71 70.71 67.72
8 66.42 68.05 61.99 65.78 69.80 68.26 53.60 47.46
12 56.16 58.31 48.04 51.81 62.21 54.90 43.38 46.81