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Table 1 Parameter posterior summaries of the refitted model for Madagascar

From: Mapping malaria seasonality in Madagascar using health facility data

DescriptionTermPosterior median95% credible interval
InterceptIntercept 2.655(− 2.740,− 2.570)
PrecipitationCHIRPS_r0.060(0.029,0.090)
 CHIRPS_r_lag10.019(− 0.012,0.050)
 CHIRPS_r_lag20.051(0.021,0.082)
 CHIRPS_r_lag30.053(0.022,0.084)
Temperature suitabilityTSI_Pv_r0.013(− 0.022,0.047)
 TSI_Pv_r_lag20.074(0.039,0.109)
Vegetation coverEVI_r_lag30.006(− 0.021,0.032)
Tasselled cap brightnessTCB_r− 0.019(− 0.050,0.012)
 TCB_r_lag30.011(− 0.020,0.043)
Observation variance\(\sigma _{e}^{2}\)0.326(0.318,0.333)
Field variance\(\sigma _{f}^{2}\)0.245(0.221,0.268)
Matérn scaling parameterκ3.163(2.834,3.522)
Autoregressive parametera0.756(0.718,0.777)
  1. The posterior medians of the statistically significant parameters under a 5% significance level are italicized. The Matérn smoothness parameter ν was fixed to 1