From: Mapping malaria seasonality in Madagascar using health facility data

Description | Term | Posterior median | 95% credible interval |
---|---|---|---|

Intercept | Intercept | − 2.655 | (− 2.740,− 2.570) |

Precipitation | CHIRPS_r | 0.060 | (0.029,0.090) |

CHIRPS_r_lag1 | 0.019 | (− 0.012,0.050) | |

CHIRPS_r_lag2 | 0.051 | (0.021,0.082) | |

CHIRPS_r_lag3 | 0.053 | (0.022,0.084) | |

Temperature suitability | TSI_Pv_r | 0.013 | (− 0.022,0.047) |

TSI_Pv_r_lag2 | 0.074 | (0.039,0.109) | |

Vegetation cover | EVI_r_lag3 | 0.006 | (− 0.021,0.032) |

Tasselled cap brightness | TCB_r | − 0.019 | (− 0.050,0.012) |

TCB_r_lag3 | 0.011 | (− 0.020,0.043) | |

Observation variance | \(\sigma _{e}^{2}\) | 0.326 | (0.318,0.333) |

Field variance | \(\sigma _{f}^{2}\) | 0.245 | (0.221,0.268) |

Matérn scaling parameter | κ | 3.163 | (2.834,3.522) |

Autoregressive parameter | a | 0.756 | (0.718,0.777) |