TY - JOUR AU - Kamau, Alice AU - Mogeni, Polycarp AU - Okiro, Emelda A. AU - Snow, Robert W. AU - Bejon, Philip PY - 2020 DA - 2020/04/29 TI - A systematic review of changing malaria disease burden in sub-Saharan Africa since 2000: comparing model predictions and empirical observations JO - BMC Medicine SP - 94 VL - 18 IS - 1 AB - The most widely used measures of declining burden of malaria across sub-Saharan Africa are predictions from geospatial models. These models apply spatiotemporal autocorrelations and covariates to parasite prevalence data and then use a function of parasite prevalence to predict clinical malaria incidence. We attempted to assess whether trends in malaria cases, based on local surveillance, were similar to those captured by Malaria Atlas Project (MAP) incidence surfaces. SN - 1741-7015 UR - https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-020-01559-0 DO - 10.1186/s12916-020-01559-0 ID - Kamau2020 ER -