Table 3 Calibration of PREDICT Prostate mortality estimates with observed numbers of deaths within treatment groups
PCa death | Non-PCa death | Any-cause death | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
n | Obs | Pred | % Diff | Obs | Pred | % Diff | Obs | Pred | % Diff | |
‘Active surveillance’ | 6224 | 195 | 191 | 0.06 | 850 | 940 | 1.44 | 1045 | 1131 | 1.38 |
‘Watchful waiting’ | 2745 | 239 | 198 | 1.49 | 942 | 915 | 0.98 | 1181 | 1112 | 2.51 |
‘Other conservative’ | 11,415 | 1358 | 1373 | 0.13 | 4906 | 4535 | 3.25 | 6264 | 5908 | 3.12 |
Radical prostatectomy | 20,936 | 550 | 703 | 0.73 | 1919 | 2403 | 2.31 | 2469 | 3107 | 3.05 |
Radiotherapy | 8953 | 737 | 560 | 1.94 | 1591 | 1594 | 0.03 | 2318 | 2155 | 2.18 |
ADT | 15,980 | 4809 | 5798 | 6.19 | 7215 | 5993 | 7.65 | 12,024 | 11,792 | 1.45 |