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Fig. 6 | BMC Medicine

Fig. 6

From: Evaluation of the potential incidence of COVID-19 and effectiveness of containment measures in Spain: a data-driven approach

Fig. 6

Strategies to mitigate the impact of the disease. a, b The impact of mobility reduction. cf The effect of different measures aimed at reducing the spreading of the epidemic when they are applied since the beginning of the outbreak and after 100 or 1000 cases are detected in the whole country. a The fraction of individuals who where affected by the disease by the end of the epidemic. b The time from the arrival of the first infected individual to the country until the peak of the epidemic, i.e., the day with the maximum number of infected individuals. In c, we evaluate the size of the epidemic if individuals are hospitalized or isolated after a given number of days from the onset of disease symptoms. In d, we show the effect of only hospitalizing or isolating a certain fraction of individuals after they experience the first symptoms. In e, f, we show the size of the epidemic and the time for the disease to peak when transmission is reduced. Note that reducing the transmissibility always delays the spreading, except in situations where the disease dies out, for which the peak occurs earlier. In all cases, the spreading starts with 10 infected individuals in Barcelona

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