Skip to main content
Fig. 5 | BMC Medicine

Fig. 5

From: Spatial modes for transmission of chikungunya virus during a large chikungunya outbreak in Italy: a modeling analysis

Fig. 5

Comparison between observed and simulated outbreaks in Anzio using a branching process informed with estimates from the transmission chain reconstruction model. a Temporal evolution of 1000 simulated outbreaks (solid lines, average; shaded areas, 95%CI), compared with observed daily chikungunya notifications (N = 190). b Histograms of final diameter (maximum distance between any two cases) in simulated outbreaks by considering local transmission (pink) or without considering local transmission (light blue); vertical lines represent the observed final outbreak diameter in Anzio (green) and the averages of the simulated distributions (blue and red)

Back to article page