Fig. 2

Observed and posterior estimates of the cumulative deaths of the COVID-19 in Wuhan, China, 2019–2020. Observed and posterior estimates of the cumulative deaths of the COVID-19 in Wuhan are presented. Observed data are presented in the dot, while the dashed line indicates 50 percentile, and areas surrounded by light gray and deep gray indicate 95% and 50% credible intervals (CrI) for posterior estimates, respectively. Epidemic day 1 corresponds to the day that starts at January 1, 2020