Table 2 Estimated number of local infections in each of the four cities of interest in the baseline scenario on 23 January 2020, the date the cordon sanitaire was imposed
Prefecture-level city | Cumulative number of infected arrivals by 23 January (median, 95% confidence interval) | Cumulative number of locally transmitted infections by 23 January (median, 95% uncertainty interval) |
|---|---|---|
Beijing | 465 (286–710) | 4007 (1410–25,467) |
Chongqing | 713 (489–1007) | 3936 (1321–29,678) |
Hangzhou | 127 (45–277) | 1004 (229–12,030) |
Shenzhen | 271 (147–457) | 1859 (399–14,261) |