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Table 2 Estimated number of local infections in each of the four cities of interest in the baseline scenario on 23 January 2020, the date the cordon sanitaire was imposed

From: The effect of travel restrictions on the geographical spread of COVID-19 between large cities in China: a modelling study

Prefecture-level city Cumulative number of infected arrivals by 23 January (median, 95% confidence interval) Cumulative number of locally transmitted infections by 23 January (median, 95% uncertainty interval)
Beijing 465 (286–710) 4007 (1410–25,467)
Chongqing 713 (489–1007) 3936 (1321–29,678)
Hangzhou 127 (45–277) 1004 (229–12,030)
Shenzhen 271 (147–457) 1859 (399–14,261)