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Table 1 Spare capacity at the pre-pandemic baseline and under alternative hospital provision intervention scenarios

From: Adapting hospital capacity to meet changing demands during the COVID-19 pandemic

Scenario

CC Beds

CC Nurses (FTE)

CC Junior Doctors (FTE)

CC Senior Doctors (FTE)

Ventilators

G&A Beds

G&A Nurses (FTE)

G&A Junior Doctors (FTE)

G&A Senior Doctors (FTE)

No interventions

− 2283

− 2773

− 217

403

4804

− 5931

8666

1819

3871

All implemented interventions

− 474 (79%)

− 359 (87%)

− 22 (90%)

568 (41%)

6430 (34%)

46,567 (885%)

42,816 (394%)

9499 (422%)

7636 (97%)

Individual hospital provision interventions

Cancellation of elective operations

− 1294 (43%)

− 1784 (36%)

− 94 (57%)

469 (16%)

5230 (9%)

30,887 (621%)

16,029 (85%)

4273 (135%)

6326 (63%)

Set-up of field hospitals

− 1783 (22%)

−2773 (0%)

− 217 (0%)

403 (0%)

4804 (0%)

2069 (135%)

8666 (0%)

1819 (0%)

3871 (0%)

Deployment of newly qualified and final year medicine and nursing students

− 2283 (0%)

−2773 (0%)

− 217 (0%)

403 (0%)

4804 (0%)

− 5931 (0%)

23,805 (175%)

5981 (229%)

3871 (0%)

Return of former healthcare staff

− 2283 (0%)

− 2230 (20%)

− 161 (26%)

482 (20%)

4804 (0%)

− 5931 (0%)

13,099 (51%)

2660 (46%)

4909 (27%)

Use of private hospitals

− 1963 (14%)

− 1891 (32%)

− 203 (6%)

424 (5%)

6004 (25%)

1749 (129%)

15,879 (83%)

2041 (12%)

4144 (7%)

  1. Note: CC: critical care; G&A: general and acute. Scenarios presented are for the observed peak number of 3,100 COVID-19 patients in CC and 15,700 COVID-19 patients in G&A. The percentage change in spare capacity of each resource for each intervention, compared to spare capacity with no interventions at peak COVID-19 patient numbers, is shown in brackets