Fig. 1
From: Response strategies for COVID-19 epidemics in African settings: a mathematical modelling study
Projected incidence of symptomatic COVID-19 cases over time for simulations of an unmitigated epidemic, by country. The green line shows the run that was closest to the median total number of cases across all model runs using global R0 estimates. The black line shows the run that was closest to the median total number of cases across all model runs using country-specific Rt estimates. Grey lines show individual stochastic model runs, where R0 in each run was sampled from the respective distribution