Fig. 3

Estimated reduction in severe cases when shielding high-risk individuals, by country, using synthetic contact matrices. Medians (dashed lines) and 75% quantiles (shaded areas) of the percentage reduction in severe cases during the first 12 months of the epidemic for different levels of reduction in contacts between shielded and unshielded people (x axis), different level of contacts among shielded people (facet rows), and for different percentages of people ≥ 60 years old shielded (see legend), for each country, across all model runs in each scenario