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Table 6 Performance of the prognostic model in the development, validation, and combination sets

From: Development and validation of the VitaL CLASS score to predict mortality in stage IV solid cancer patients with septic shock in the emergency department: a multi-center, prospective cohort study

Total risk points Estimate of probability Development set (n = 469) Validation set (n = 428)
Patients, % Observed death within 28 days/patients (%) Patients, % Observed death within 28 days/patients (%)
 0 3.47% 9.6 1/45 (2.2) 9.3 1/40 (2.5)
 1 6.33% 15.8 4/74 (5.4) 13.8 5/59 (8.5)
 2 11.42% 16.8 5/79 (6.3) 17.8 12/76 (15.8)
 3 20.14% 26.7 25/125 (20.0) 22.7 23/97 (23.7)
 4 34.10% 15.6 31/73 (42.5) 18.9 30/81 (37.0)
 5 53.84% 10.9 34/51 (66.7) 10.5 24/45 (53.3)
 6 76.15% 3.4 14/16 (87.5) 5.6 18/24 (75.0)
 7 92.99% 0.9 4/4 (100) 1.4 4/6 (66.7)
 8 99.28% 0.4 2/2 (100) 0
Risk group Estimate of probability Patients, % Observed death within 28 days/patients (%) Patients, % Observed death within 28 days/patients (%)
 Low (0–2) 7.07% 42.2 10/198 (5.1) 40.9 18/175 (10.3)
 Average (3–5) 36.03% 53.1 90/249 (36.1) 52.1 77/223 (34.5)
 High (6–8) 89.47% 4.7 20/22 (90.9) 7.0 22/30 (73.3)