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Table 2 Prediction of high-risk group membership

From: Prediction of individuals at high risk of chronic kidney disease during treatment with lithium for bipolar disorder

Model

ROC area (95%CI)

Sensitivity (95%CI)

Specificity (95%CI)

Accuracy %

Development (Aurum)

 Full

0.868 (95%CI 0.844–0.891)

0.86 (0.78–0.94)

0.73 (0.66–0.80)

74.54

 3-variable KFRE

0.828 (0.801–0.855)

0.87 (0.77–0.96)

0.64 (0.54–0.74)

66.73

 3-variable elastic net

0.852 (0.827–0.856)

0.86 (0.77–0.95)

0.68 (0.58–0.78)

70.14

Validation (Gold)

 Full

0.879 (0.853–0.904)

0.91 (0.84–0.97)

0.74 (0.67–0.81)

76.55

 3-variable KFRE

0.870 (0.841–0.898)

0.86 (0.78–0.94)

0.75 (0.68–0.83)

76.66

 3-variable elastic net

0.888 (0.864–0.912)

0.86 (0.79–0.94)

0.80 (0.73–0.87)

80.90