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Fig. 1 | BMC Medicine

Fig. 1

From: Comparison of infection control strategies to reduce COVID-19 outbreaks in homeless shelters in the United States: a simulation study

Fig. 1

Impact of incidence of infection in the community on the probability of averting an outbreak in a generalized homeless shelter under different intervention strategies for different R0 values. The probability of averting an outbreak (≥3 infections over any 14-day period) in a generalized homeless shelter of 250 residents and 50 staff over 30 days was estimated for different infection incidences in the community using the microsimulation model described in the text. A thousand simulations of the counterfactual no-intervention scenario and each of the intervention strategies were run, and the probability of averting an outbreak was calculated as the proportion of simulations with an outbreak in the no-intervention scenario in which there was no outbreak in the intervention scenario. SF, San Francisco

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