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Fig. 5 | BMC Medicine

Fig. 5

From: Using syndromic measures of mortality to capture the dynamics of COVID-19 in Java, Indonesia, in the context of vaccination rollout

Fig. 5

a Model fitting to confirmed and suspected (both confirmed and probable) COVID-19 related deaths and inferred population susceptibility in Java; green and blue dots show data on reported and suspected respectively (where suspected includes augmented estimate of probable deaths in provinces outside Jakarta), with associated median (lines) and 95% CrI (shaded areas) of model fits. b Estimated province-level attack rates (cumulative proportion infected) based on confirmed (purple) and suspected (pink) COVID-19 related deaths. c Projections of daily number of deaths due to COVID-19 based on four different transmission scenarios

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BMC Medicine

ISSN: 1741-7015

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