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Table 1 Metapopulation model simulation scenarios (one baseline scenario and four counterfactual scenarios)

From: Using syndromic measures of mortality to capture the dynamics of COVID-19 in Java, Indonesia, in the context of vaccination rollout

Scenario name Details
Baseline Movement from a district is assumed to reduce according to reductions in movement within a district scaled by an odds ratio of 2 to reflect assumed lower likelihood of travel outside a district relative to travel within a district.
Ramadan 1 No movement reductions between districts during the Ramadan and Eid festivals period and the Rt values during the period were assumed to be similar to the baseline scenario.
Ramadan 2 No movement reductions between districts during the Ramadan and Eid festivals period and the Rt values during the period were assumed to be 75% of each district R0,i.
Ramadan 3 No movement reductions between districts during the Ramadan and Eid festivals period and the Rt values during the period were assumed to be the same as each district R0,i.
Unmitigated No interventions assumed which implies no movement reductions over all period of simulations with the Rt values to be the same as each district R0,i over the period of simulations.