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Table 1 Model parameters used in the base case and one-way sensitivity analyses

From: SARS-CoV-2 infection risk during delivery of childhood vaccination campaigns: a modelling study

Parameter

Description

Base case

Sensitivity analysis

Source

R0

Basic reproduction number

2.0

1.8, 2.2

Assumed

 

Age-specific contact matrices

See Additional file 1: Fig S2.

17

 

Reduction in contacts outside of home due to NPIs

40%

20%, 60% (30%, 20%)a

Assumed

Susceptibility to infection on contact

Derived from R0 as described in Davies et al.

14

de

Latent period (pre-infectious)

4 days

2 days, 6 days

14

dr

Duration of infectiousness

5 days

3 days, 7 days

14

dc

Duration of the vaccination campaign

10 days

5 days, 20 daysb

Expert opinion +

8,23

Number of children vaccinated by a vaccinator per day

Fixed-post: 150

House-to-house: 75

Fixed-post: 75, 300

House-to-house: not varied

Expert opinion +

8,23,24

ncj

Number of community contacts of children/caregiver during trip to/from vaccine clinic

Fixed-post: 5

House-to-house: 0

Fixed-post: 1, 10

House-to-house: not varied

Assumed

Number of vaccination staff contacted by children/caregivers during vaccination

1

3

Expert opinion +

26

Number of extra community contacts of vaccinators for each household visited during the campaign

Fixed-post: 0

House-to-house: 1

House-to-house: 0, 2

Assumed

π

Effectiveness of PPE in reducing transmission

75%

0%, 50%, 90%, 100%

22,27

ρ

Relative effectiveness of PPE in reducing transmission to vaccinators or vaccinees/caregivers

1

0.5 for vaccinators, 0.5 for caregivers

Assumed

  1. aThis was used to model the assumption of faster epidemics amongst healthcare workers
  2. bWe performed two separate sensitivity analyses for campaign duration: (i) υ was kept constant so the total number of vaccinations per vaccinator changed with campaign duration; (ii) υ was simultaneously adjusted so the total number of vaccinations per vaccinator remained constant