Fig. 3

R estimates using CoMix data fit to time-varying reproduction number estimates based on the time series of cases [22]. Transformed likelihood for different combinations of relative susceptibility and infectiousness based on data from A July to October and B June to October and the corresponding R estimates in C and D, respectively. 90% CI of the estimates are shown by grey rectangles for CoMix and the red ribbon for the time-varying reproduction number estimates from case data; red bars show their mean for the CoMix survey periods. Grey-shaded areas indicate fitted periods