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Table 4 Prevalence ratios and prediction intervals for children overweight and obesity at 48, 84 and 120 months

From: Developing an integrated microsimulation model for the impact of fiscal policies on child health in Europe: the example of childhood obesity in Italy

  Basic income Poverty reduction New-borns benefit Child benefit
BI1 BI2 PR1 PR2 NB1 NB2 CB1 CB2
48 months
Children overweight 0.994 [0.987–1.000] 0.946 [0.895–0.998] 0.996 [0.991–1.000] 0.967 [0.934–1.001] 0.999 [0.998–1.000] 0.993 [0.985–1.000] 0.993 [0.985–1.001] 0.952 [0.904–1.000]
Children obesity 0.986 [0.966–1.005] 0.907 [0.809–1.004] 0.988 [0.971–1.006] 0.936 [0.861–1.012] 0.998 [0.994–1.002] 0.987 [0.971–1.004] 0.982 [0.957–1.008] 0.912 [0.813–1.011]
84 months
Children overweight 0.991 [0.985–0.996] 0.913 [0.858–0.968] 0.994 [0.99–0.998] 0.946 [0.911–0.982] 0.999 [0.997–1.000] 0.988 [0.979–0.996] 0.989 [0.982–0.996] 0.921 [0.869–0.974]
Children obesity 0.968 [0.94–0.995] 0.807 [0.67–0.945] 0.972 [0.947–0.997] 0.854 [0.734–0.974] 0.996 [0.991–1.002] 0.973 [0.949–0.997] 0.957 [0.918–0.995] 0.805 [0.654–0.957]
120 months
Children overweight 0.988 [0.982–0.993] 0.876 [0.819–0.933] 0.992 [0.988–0.996] 0.925 [0.888–0.961] 0.998 [0.997–0.999] 0.982 [0.972–0.992] 0.986 [0.98–0.993] 0.887 [0.831–0.943]
Children obesity 0.946 [0.918–0.975] 0.666 [0.501–0.83] 0.951 [0.924–0.979] 0.721 [0.562–0.881] 0.993 [0.985–1.001] 0.950 [0.917–0.982] 0.920 [0.875–0.965] 0.639 [0.439–0.838]
  1. Note: 95% confidence intervals in brackets. Ratios and prediction intervals according to the different fiscal reform scenarios in comparison with the baseline