Observed and predicted premature mortality in Australia due to non-communicable diseases: a population-based study examining progress towards the WHO 25X25 goal

Table 3 Probability of dying aged 30–69 years in Australia, 2010–2016, from cancer, cardiovascular disease (CVD), respiratory diseases and diabetes (NCD4)

Year	Cancer	*Underlying cause of death*
Year	Cancer	CVD	Chronic respiratory diseases	Diabetes	NCD4 combined
Probability of premature death (%)
2010	6.26	2.82	0.70	0.33	9.84
2011	6.20	2.73	0.68	0.36	9.71
2012	6.04	2.58	0.67	0.32	9.38
2013	5.98	2.62	0.66	0.34	9.36
2014	5.80	2.55	0.71	0.35	9.17
2015	5.77	2.52	0.69	0.37	9.12
2016	5.63	2.43	0.68	0.38	8.89
Projected premature age-standardised mortality rate per 100,000 in 2025
2025	104.56	40.21	13.46	7.73	164.23
Projected probability of premature death in 2025 (%)
2025	4.77	1.81	0.66	0.35	7.36
Relative reduction in the projected probability of death compared to 2010 (%)
2025	–	–	–	–	25.16

Notes: (1) Rates represent deaths per 100,000, standardised to using the 2011 Australian Estimated Resident Population of people aged 30–69 years. (2) The probability of premature death due to cancer (C00–C97), cardiovascular disease (CVD) (I00–I99), chronic respiratory diseases (J30–J98) and diabetes (E10-E14) combined is displayed under non-communicable diseases (NCD4) combined

ISSN: 1741-7015