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Fig. 3 | BMC Medicine

Fig. 3

From: The impact of local vaccine coverage and recent incidence on measles transmission in France between 2009 and 2018

Fig. 3

Average values of the endemic, neighbourhood and autoregressive predictors per department in Model 1 (upper row) and Model 2 (lower row) over the year 2019. Since the absolute values are expected to vary over the year because of seasonality, the panels show the relative geographical heterogeneity. The endemic predictor corresponds to the number of importations per day per department, whereas the autoregressive predictor corresponds to the number of secondary cases per case in each department. The absolute value of the neighbourhood predictor is harder to interpret directly since it is multiplied by the connectivity matrix in the equation. Higher values were associated with departments with higher risks of observing cases following population movements

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