Fig. 5

Percentage of simulations where the number of cases reported in each department in 2019 was at least 1, 10 and 50 cases for each scenario using parameter estimates from Model 1. Each row corresponds to a different scenario: (i) reference, (ii) minimum level of recent incidence in each department, (iii) local vaccine coverage decreased by 3% in each department, (iv) local vaccine coverage increased by 3% in each department