Table 1 Table of notations of all variables and distributions defined in the methods
Parameter | Definition |
|---|---|
i, j | Regions |
t | Time |
Yi, t | Number of cases reported in the region i at time t |
\({Y}_{i,t}^{\prime }\) | Potential for transmission in the region i at time t |
μi, t | Average number of cases predicted in the region i at time t |
λ | Autoregressive predictor |
ϕ | Neighbourhood predictor |
ν | Endemic predictor |
ω | Connectivity matrix |
α | Intercept |
β | Vector of coefficients |
z | Matrix of covariates |
f(t) | Distribution of the serial interval |
mit | Number of inhabitants in the region i at time t |
dij | Distance between regions i and j |
γ, δ, ϵ | Parameters of the exponential gravity model |
uit | Average vaccine coverage in the region i at time t |
nit | Recent incidence per million in the region i at time t |
Nit | Category of recent incidence in the region i at time t |
sit | Surface area of the region i at time t |