Fig. 5

Timing of spillover and nosocomial cases in a single realization of one catchment area from the MERS-CoV outbreak model. (Bottom) Individual cases are visualized as thick horizontal lines, with observed cases in yellow/orange and averted cases in gray (yellow and light gray indicate incubation time, orange and dark gray indicate infectious time). Unrelated transmission trees are separated by thin horizontal gray lines. The dashed vertical line indicates the date the outbreak threshold was reached. Triangles indicate the vaccination date, and diamonds indicate the protection date. (Top) Number of observed (orange) and averted (gray) cases per week